The Pound is set for a busy week with some expecting that this week’s focus on inflation – with the actual CPI inflation figures tomorrow and the quarterly inflation report on Wednesday – could push the Pound higher if inflation once more comes in well above target. This could provide further momentum to Sterling although much will depend on what the inflation report actually says and also how the subsequent comments from the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King are interpreted.
The Pound is starting the week at the 1.16s against the Euro – lower than last Monday when we came off the starting blocks at 1.17 but the Pound has actually regained some ground over the weekend from lower falls to 1.154 on Friday and 1.153 last Wednesday when we saw decidedly low GDP figures knock the Pound down.
We are starting the week with the Pound in a weaker position against the Euro, having fallen to 1.17 from 1.18 at the start of last week. Many clients have been surprised that this is the case as overall sentiment about Europe and the future of the Euro is fairly negative with the latest problems being the issues of the break-up of the coalition majority in Ireland over the weekend as the Green Party removed their support.
For anyone UK-based buying property in Europe, a change has occurred in the cost price to the property of around 4 percent over the past two weeks, purely through the Sterling to Euro exchange rates. Over the past two weeks, the Pound has moved up from the 1.16 levels against the Euro, first reaching the 1.20s and then faltering again at the end of last week to find itself at around the mid 1.19s at the start of this week.
On last week’s blog we reported that the Pound was at around the 1.16 levels against the Euro – this week we are starting in a much brighter position with the rate up to 1.20. This is great news for anyone UK based who might be purchasing property or moving funds over to Europe.
If you are buying or selling a property this year, or moving overseas, January is a good time to start talking to a currency broker to discuss when in the year you will be needing the transfer and discussing what sort of rate you want to achieve. The most money is saved on overseas property purchases by those that not only use a broker to avoid the bank’s poor rates of exchange but also use all the tools available to them to ensure that they catch the very best exchange rate in the constantly moving markets.
…It’s the last currency blog of 2010 and what a year it has been for the exchange rates. For those buying or selling property whether as an investment or for reasons of moving abroad the movements that have occurred in exchange rates could have affected the cost of the property by 11 % for a property purchased in Euros, 15 % for Australian Dollars and 13 % for US Dollars over the past year.
Monday has opened with the volatile momentum that we may continue to see over the next five days. The week is starting with the Pound moving down from the 1.19s to the 1.18s against the Euro and the 1.58s to the 1.57s against the US Dollar as some poor housing data has taken a hit to the Pound. The housing sector is often the Achilles heel in the UK economy with the Rightmove index this time showing a price decrease of -3% in stark contrast to the strengthening manufacturing sector which we saw last week conversely boost the currency.
This week is beginning with the US Dollar on the downturn and the Euro holding steady following a tip in the balance between the two major currencies last week.
This week opens with Euro volatility and the news that the Irish rescue package has been signed in Dublin over the weekend. Several EU politicians have spoken out to try and present this as a means by which calm and stability will be brought back to the Euro as any further impact of Irish debt on its trading partners and the rest of the Europe has been curbed. But is this really the case? The run up to the actual signing of the deal throughout last week took place amid protests in Ireland, and deepening political problems with calls for an earlier general election.