Is The Euro Out Of Danger Yet?

This week opens with Euro volatility and the news that the Irish rescue package has been signed in Dublin over the weekend. Several EU politicians have spoken out to try and present this as a means by which calm and stability will be brought back to the Euro as any further impact of Irish debt on its trading partners and the rest of the Europe has been curbed. But is this really the case? The run up to the actual signing of the deal throughout last week took place amid protests in Ireland, and deepening political problems with calls for an earlier general election.

Euro Volatile As Ireland Accepts EU Rescue Package

The first part of this week has been struck by ups and downs in Euro uncertainty which is the dominant factor influencing the broader currency markets.

Initially, the announcement that the EU would be providing a rescue package to Ireland after several weeks of speculation pushed the Euro higher, as this ended the uncertainty and revealed the EU as a dominant force able to impose conditions on single-currency nations.

As Inflation Rises So Does The Pound

The Pound has broadly gained since last week largely due to last week’s Bank of England inflation report on Wednesday. At the start of this week we touched the 1.18 levels against the Euro and have reached 1.60 against the US Dollar. With the amount of volatility that we have recently seen, it is worth considering booking a transfer or fixing a rate in advance for any GBP transfers into another currency.

Currency Focus Shifts Back To European Debt

Another week and another swing in the rates.

Most significantly, the US Dollar fell against a basket of other currencies to its lowest levels since 2009 making this the best time to convert Pounds into Dollars this year. This was the result of the long awaited decision by the US Federal Reserve to try and re-stimulate the US economy by introducing more ‘quantitative easing’ measures – namely pumping another 600 billion Dollars into the economy.

Decisive Week For Currency Movements

Last week was one in which there was a turn-around in the status quo of Sterling exchange rate movements and this week is shaping up to have just as much potential for movement.

After weeks of suffering, the Pound began to reverse its losses against the Euro when Tuesday’s GDP figures for the third quarter arrived with a surprise increase. They showed a quarterly increase of 0.8 percent far outweighing the prediction of 0.4 percent.

Little Help For The Pound

The horizon is still looking pretty sparse in terms of any potential news that could bring some respite to the Pound.

Last week saw the double blow of the Bank of England minutes and details of budget cuts which coincided on Wednesday to push the Pound down to the lower 1.12s against the Euro by Thursday. The Bank of England minutes revealed a split in voting on both interest rates and quantitative easing measures – this has clearly knocked down further the confidence of market investors regarding the UK recovery.

Are we in a Currency War?

‘Currency War’ has been a phrase increasingly bandied about by the news and press over the past week with severe fluctuations in foreign exchange rates making headlines. In truth, the nations tied up in accusations of artificially weakening their currencies (to ensure the competitiveness of their exports and therefore their respective recoveries) tend to be those nations with currencies mainly used as currency investments such as Japan and Brazil.

Pound Failing To Pick Up

Despite the wealth of economic news releases, central bank interest rate meetings and global G7 and International Monetary Fund meetings over the past week, the state of play in the currency markets between the Pound, US Dollar and Euro at least has not dramatically shifted. Generally speaking, we are still seeing a very strong Euro which in the space of the last few weeks has maintained eight month highs on the US Dollar and six month highs on the Pound.

This is having a significant effect on businesses as well as private individuals purchasing and selling properties overseas.

Euro Holding Up As Irish Banking Fears Mount

Markets have opened this week with the Euro still holding out in a strong position against other major currencies, with the Pound trading around the level of 1.176 against the Euro on Monday. Conversely, the Pound, in a weak state itself, has actually hit a six week high against the even weaker US Dollar. This general picture may have the potential to change shape over the week with news from Ireland having the potential to knock the Euro and a wealth of UK and US economic data due.

To start with Sterling, news on the UK economy has not inspired much confidence in investors.

Pound Under Pressure As Housing Market Disappoints

Sterling is starting the week out on the wrong foot, sitting around 1.19 against the Euro and 1.55 against the US Dollar. Despite rising against the US Dollar last week for the first time in six weeks, news over the weekend had already arrived to dampen UK markets before the week had even begun. Dropping house prices made some of the Monday morning front pages thanks to the Rightmove data over the weekend. This was doubled up by figures from the Bank of England this morning showing a fall in mortgage approvals.